How the president’s party has fared in every US midterm election since 1946
⟶ The president's party has historically struggled in US midterm elections since 1946. In the last 20 midterm elections, the president's party has gained House seats only twice.
Only twice in the past 20 midterms has the president’s party gained House seats. Polls suggest 2026 won’t be the third.
Background
This analysis covers US midterm elections from 1946 to the present.
Why it matters
Midterm elections often serve as a referendum on the current president's performance and policies. Historically, voters tend to use this election to express their approval or disapproval, often leading to losses for the party in power.
Possible impact
Polls suggest that the upcoming 2026 midterm election may continue this trend, indicating a potential loss of House seats for the president's party.